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Keep the Faith! Fight to the Finish!

Posted by caleb on Nov 3, 2008 in Election 2008, Presidential Election 2008

I know what the polls say, but friends, I pray you do not despair, because I don’t believe they are correct.

Let me give my prediction for the outcome of tomorrow’s election. I think we’ll see a decisive McCain victory, not necessarily a landslide, but perhaps close to one.

Let me tell you why, as one last piece of encouragement.

  1. Most, if not all, polls have been re-calibrated this election season to account for a huge influx of young voters and African American voters. However, according to early results, there has been no large increase in youth voters. This means, as usual, the polls have a sampling error.
  2. Many polls also over sample Democrats, and therefore, show Obama in a higher lead than is actually the case.
  3. Obama, with the intense and overbearing endorsement of the liberal media, has claimed the status of an incumbent. Undecideds usually break for the challenger, and that’s John McCain.
  4. Even with the over-sampled polls, the numbers have been trending in McCain’s direction, and he has said he believes he’ll win, and that’s not a statement to be taken lightly when it comes from John McCain.

For more insight, here’s a good voice on the matter of dishonest polling.

The most important thing to do is to pray intensely for the future of our country and, more specifically, for a John McCain and Sarah Palin victory tomorrow. Pray that they do win by a decisive amount, because our way of life and the future of our nation and Christianity in America depends upon it.

The second most important thing to do is to get out and vote! Take your friends and neighbors and anyone you find on the street who supports McCain-Palin with you to the polls. This is a turnout election, and, truly, the man with the most votes wins (unless ACORN’s involved…). No excuses, now, get yourself out of bed and vote, and vote early!

 

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Others who also predict a decisive McCain victory:

Andy Martin, Executive Editor, ContrarianCommentary.com.

Fred Barnes, Executive Editor of The Weekly Standard.

Rush Limbaugh, The Rush Limbaugh Show (says polls were inaccurate before, too).

The Associated Press

Pat Boone

Geoff Metcalf

Not a complete or conclusive list by any means, but definitely some good voices.

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Polls Tighten, and the Mac is Back!

Posted by caleb on Oct 23, 2008 in Presidential Election 2008

It’s easy to become discouraged in this current media climate. Almost every day, a new poll comes out with Barack Obama 9, 12, or even 14 points ahead of John McCain. On the opposite days, the spit articles in our faces about how Sarah Palin is more of a drag on the GOP ticket than George W. Bush is.

If you’re like me, you probably come away from these things saying, “What?!” For one thing, there is no possible way that an American election in the twenty-first century could have a spread this wide. It’s just not possible. Today, instead of harsh words meant to spur people on to involvement in American Democracy, I’m espousing words of encouragement.

  1. The AP released a poll yesterday showing voting preferences among likely voters. The results? Obama’s in the lead, by one point, well within the margin of error (Obama 44%, McCain 43%, Undecided Still Persuadable [equally from McCain, Obama, and Independent Categories] 24%). 
  2. The IBD/TIPP Daily Tracking Poll for October 22 showed a difference of only 3.7%. This poll was the most accurate in 2004. In fact, McCain gained in many key groups over the course of the past week (Including being up a whopping 20 points with suburbanites!). And they say this election is over? Looks like they didn’t ask us. That leads us to point three:
  3. Both Rush Limbaugh and Sean Hannity pointed out today that the majority of the “unfavorable” polls (the aforementioned outliers) oversample Democrats, to the point where there are sometimes 25% more Demos in a polling sample than Republicans. Looks like someone didn’t pass Elementary Statistics.
  4. McCain now leads by 2 points in Florida and Ohio, and is only 2 points down in Virginia. Pennsylvania is seen as winnable, as well (His campaign says he only needs to win 2,000 more votes in each county than Pres. Bush did to win the state’s 21 electoral votes).
It looks like things may be looking up, and that’s a good thing. I’ve heard many people attribute it directly to Joe Wurzelbacher, better known as “Joe the Plumber.” Fact is, people don’t want their hard-earned coin going to someone who’s never/doesn’t pay a dime in income taxes to the federal government. It’s just not right, and it goes against everything America stands for. Basically, we’re “discovering” (it’s not like we didn’t know it already) that Obama is a socialist, through and through. It’s as if his connections (Ayers, Wright, Flagel, Rezko) weren’t enough. It’s fine by me, because, folks, we’re in this to win this.
Let’s fight to the finish.

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