McCain Rises Above Obama in Latest Gallup Poll
FoxNews.com is reporting that the latest Gallup Daily Tracking poll, released today. John McCain now leads Barack Obama 48-45, the largest lead he has ever had over the Senator from Illinois. While the Fox website says McCain’s lead is still within the poll’s ±2% margin of error, that math doesn’t look quite right to me. 48-45 looks like a dead-even race, but also like a 1% lead out of the margin for McCain.
Apparently, this is the bounce (or at least part of it) that the McCain-Palin team received from their convention in St. Paul. While I would have liked to have seen something a little larger than 3%, it is still respectable, considering Barack Obama only received 4% and the second convention usually receives a smaller bounce.
McCain leads Obama 48-45 in most recent Gallup Daily Tracking Poll
The poll surveyed 2,765 registered voters and was completed two days after the last day of the RNCC, according, at least, to Gallup. Fox says it was completed the last day of the RNCC. That means this did include both Gov. Palin’s and Sen. McCain’s speeches, maybe. Gallup does say the most accurate measurement of the convention bounce will come with the poll released tomorrow.
Gallup says this is the largest lead McCain has had over Obama since May.
As I understand it, only 2/3 of the poll Fox News quoted today takes McCain’s speech into account. So we should expect a bigger bounce this week.
hmm… that would make more sense, but i’m not gathering that from the wording of the two articles… could you explain your reasoning? i’d love to understand!